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But Don says it was the Democrats? California is 15% dryer, 5°C warmer and 20% windier (Climameter) . LA hasn’t seen rain in 8 months: A tinderbox. California needed to manage that, and didn’t.
What do we do? Teach your kids to spell this: A-D-A-P-T-A-T-I-O-N. We’re going to change where and how we live.
Biggest short-term challenge? Insurance: some places will lose coverage. No insurance, no mortgage.
Read more: Noahopinion: “Learn smart lessons from the LA fires, not stupid ones”; Take down of Trump talking points by Bulletin of Atomic Scientists
I discussed the role that human-caused climate change is playing in the devastating Southern California wildfires with @brikeilarcnn on @CNN earlier today:
— Prof Michael E. Mann (@MichaelEMann)
11:44 PM • Jan 8, 2025
Good. Have they learned their lesson? Not entirely. Now say hydrogen for buses, vans and trucks.
But it’s batteries all the way? Yes. EVs better in all ways for all road transport. Hydrogen on wheels won’t happen.
Read more: FT.com (£)
“On all levels, hydrogen has been a failure for passenger cars” - Macquarie Capital.
Um? Well, it’s feasible says European Space Agency. You just need a lot of money, a lot of scientists and a lot of balls. And put it 22,000km high…
Seriously, the Chinese are out of control. Yup. But mega-projects like this aren’t going to come from Peru or the Chagos Islands, are they? Or, sadly, Europe or the US.
Read more: South China Morning Post (£)
How long will it take you to use your 2025 personal carbon budget? A new Oxfam report has some estimates:
If you earn more than $140k, you’re in the richest 1%. On average you will use your budget inside 10 days.
The world’s poorest 50% will use their allowance up in… three years.
And if you’re a billionaire? In 90 minutes (yes) you emit more carbon than an average human does… in their entire lifetime.
Prices for battery minerals like cobalt, lithium and nickel have collapsed - even with increasing demand. (Reuters).
Why? Too many discoveries - as now we’re actually looking. Turns out we have more than we need.
Where does energy policy go in our Trump-led world?
Worth reading oil analyst Arjun Murti’s Super Spiked. He reckons Net Zero is well behind abundance and reliability. Next affordability and geopolitical security. Lots of cheap power for the apocalypse then.
We’re in a power market super-cycle, with huge investment in electricity generation and distribution
Natural gas and solar do well everywhere
Wind and hydrogen do okay in niches
Nuclear power and long-duration battery storage have longer-term potential
Coal in developing nations is inevitable
EVs do well but it’s not hockey-stick growth
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