⏳Italians in trouble, Arnie angry, Economist optimistic

Italians in trouble, Arnie angry, Economist optimistic

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What you need to know

Italy: crops dying, water so scarce tourists turned away

How bad? Fruits growing areas in Sicily hasn’t had rain in a year, risking the entire fruit industry (Fruitnet). Across country various crops down 11%-17% (Reuters).
Why? Turns out 2023 was hottest European summer in 2,000 years.
Gets worse? Sicily turning away tourists (Times) as is Capri (Guardian)
Why did no-one warn us? They. Did. Even the Daily Mail!

Everyone: Do more, faster on climate

Why this matters? A global UN climate vote found 80% of people want their country to do more on climate.
The challenge? Politicians seeking votes from the ignorant - such as Cameron cutting ‘green crap’ that cost UK £22bn so far
Read more: UNDP’s survey; Carbon Brief’s UK election policy tracker

Arnie slams Germany for closing nukes

Why this matters? Not long ago public support for nuclear was rare.
The challenge? Deciphering myth and reality. Nuclear is low carbon, but construction too slow & expensive to be core to decarbonisation.
What will happen instead? Solar, wind and batteries have it on cost and speed, and will compete on reliability. Still, existing nukes should run & be replaced. Small, modular designs? Maybe.

One thing to worry about

Emissions are still rising. Despite everything. 😞

The UK’s Energy Institute showed overall energy consumption up 2%. Fossils’ share down only 0.5% to 81.5%. Long way to go.

One thing to be optimistic about

How big can Heat Pumps get? Big. This one warms a Danish town of 100,000 people. Powered mainly by offshore wind. Well done MAN. 👏

We. Have. The. Tech.

If you’ve got more time, read this…

Finally, mainstream media is getting it: this week The Economist is all over solar.

My mantra, again and again: We humans rise to challenges.

That human ingenuity finds useful things to do with better access to energy is one of the clearest messages of the past 200 years.

If real energy costs drop dramatically across the global economy, and access to energy expands, to bet against great things is to bet against the innovative engines of capitalism. It is not a wager history encourages.

The Economist, June 2024

Remember, more energy from the sun falls on the earth in 90 minutes than humans use in a year. The challenge is converting it.

Might as well add their version of my favourite graph:

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